Report for Model 11

— for both jointly and separately

2024-11-06

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      1.000      1.000
## LDevsum      1.000      1.003
## dh0          1.019      1.075
## dl0          1.022      1.103
## dl1          0.999      0.999
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.02

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1352.00759 22867.9115
DIC3 1235.35490 22863.4987
PWAIC 78.19537 289.0734
WAIC 1291.19604 22890.1171

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      0.999      0.999
## dh0          0.999      0.999
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 0.999

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0b
DIC 1399.58344
DIC3 1260.42560
PWAIC 94.77333
WAIC 1332.68373

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum      1.000          1
## dl0          0.999          1
## dl1          1.001          1
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L1
DIC 22743.9548
DIC3 22831.1732
PWAIC 327.6456
WAIC 22868.1148